SA Explained | eNCA | MarkData 2026 Election Poll: MK Leads eThekwini, Tshwane Fragments
The MK Party measures 48% support in eThekwini, while Tshwane’s divided political landscape presents a complicated coalition challenge. But what do the final eNCA/MarkData results reveal about the changing shape of South Africa’s metropolitan politics?
Naledi Moleo and political data analyst Wayne Sussman unpack mayoral preferences, water and service-delivery concerns, party fragmentation and shifting voter support. With all six metro surveys now complete, they explore what the findings suggest about the ANC’s urban position, and why they should not be mistaken for a national election forecast.
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Chapter List
(00:00) – eNCA/MarkData: The Final Two Metro Results
(01:00) – eThekwini: MK Party at 48% — What Could It Mean?
(02:26) – How eThekwini’s Voting Preferences Change With Age
(04:19) – Can MK Sustain Its Support Before Election Day?
(06:20) – Jacob Zuma, the IFP and KwaZulu-Natal’s Political Identity
(08:11) – eThekwini: Who Do Respondents Want as Mayor?
(09:36) – Flood Recovery, Water Supply and Municipal Accountability
(11:27) – Service-Delivery Blame and Political Violence Concerns
(13:08) – eThekwini: Foreign Nationals and Public Tensions
(14:15) – Tshwane: A Fragmented Political Contest
(16:19) – Nasiphi Moya, Mayoral Preferences and the Water Crisis
(17:55) – Why Tshwane’s Coalitions Struggle to Last
(18:45) – Tshwane’s Language Groups and Voting Preferences
(21:15) – Turnout and the Communities to Watch
(23:03) – Tshwane: Service Delivery and Political Accountability
(24:15) – Foreign Nationals and Public Distrust in Tshwane
(26:09) – All Six Metros: What Has Changed for the ANC?
(28:16) – What Should We Watch on Election Day?
