Midterm elections 2026: Harry Enten’s final prediction

CNN chief data analyst Harry Enten delivers his final data forecast for the 2026 midterm elections, breaking down the projections and probabilities across the U.S. House, Senate, and gubernatorial races based on polling averages, primary turnout, and predictive modeling.

0:00 Trump’s approval hits a record low as sentiment toward Congress sours
3:25 Historic number of House seats leaning Democratic
5:27 Final House majority and seat projections
8:08 Polling in key red-state Senate races
13:12 Final Senate forecast and seat breakdown
16:32 Gubernatorial race probabilities

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